Transcript
ENERGY DNV GL s Offshore wind vision Marte de Picciotto, Head of Renewables Advisory, Norway SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER Agenda! The new company! Market outlook offshore wind! Technical development trends! Why floating wind?! Our vision 2 The new company; DNV GL 3 Energy - Combined strength to support Energy customers 3000 energy experts help customers throughout the electrical power industry realize efficient, reliable and clean energy for today and the future DNV GL Renewables Advisory DNV GL Group Headquarter: Oslo, Norway Group President & CEO: Henrik O. Madsen Maritime Oil & Gas Energy Business Assurance Headquartered in Headquartered in Headquartered in Headquartered in Hamburg, Germany Høvik, Norway Arnhem, Netherlands Milan, Italy Appr employees Appr employees Appr employees Appr employees Renewables Advisory Energy Advisory Renewables Certification Power TIC Renewables Advisory consists of approx consultants and engineers working within onshore and offshore wind power, solar, wave and tidal. Global HQ in Bristol, UK. 5 The foundation for offshore wind Offshore electrical engineering World-renowned in shipping Global offshore experts Trusted onshore wind partner 6 Market outlook 7 New installed power capacity in the EU, Nuclear vs. Solar and Wind 9 Average LCOE of onshore wind (Eur/MWh) Denmark and Germany Global 14% drop in LCOE for every doubling of installed capacity 50 14% ,000 10, ,000 1,000,000 MW Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, ExTool Onshore vs Offshore Wind Power Installations 11 IEA in 2013: Wind can reach 18% of world elec prod. in 2050 Offshore Onshore 12 What is the potential for wind power? 13 Potential in the Baltic Sea (in TWh) 14 Potential in the Baltic Sea (in TWh) 15 Technical development trends 16 Three generations of wind power 17 EWEA 2013 The average European ONSHORE wind turbine Capacity: 2.2 MW Capacity factor: 24% Average annual energy production: 4,702 MWh This can power more than 1202 households The average European OFFSHORE wind turbine Capacity: 3.6 MW Capacity factor: 41% Average annual energy production: 12,961 MWh This can power more than 3312 households 18 Today s offshore turbine technology: 6-8MW Courtesy: Alstom 19 Turbine technology for 2020: 10 MW Courtesy: Siemens 20 Vestas launches V164 8MW Rotor area: 21,124 m2 21 Vestas launches V164 8MW 22 Ny turbin teknologi: 6-8MW Courtesy: Siemens Installation without purpose built vessels 24 Purpose built vessels In 2012, a ship Swire Blue Ocean - Pacific Orca 25 Purpose built vessels Operations & Maintenance Courtesy: SeaEnergy 26 Why floating wind? 27 European winds and water depth 28 Floating wind turbines the new energy frontier? Courtesy: Windfloat 29 Cost reduction in oil lifting cost going from fixed to floating The North Sea experience; Source: Douglas Westwood 30 Floating wind turbines the three technology types SPAR Semi- Subersable TLP 31 Time to market for different concepts! TLP: PelaStar, TRL 4 Technology / part of technology validation in a laboratory environment! Spar: Hywind, TRL 8 Technology completed and ready for deployment through test and demonstration! Semi: WindFloat, TRL 7 Full-scale technology demonstration in working environment 32 DNV GL Vision Inspiration unlocks the future technology will catch up. 33 IEA: Net capacity change until 2035 Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) World Energy Outlook 2012 BRICS - Why go offshore? 35 Japan before and after Fukushima 36 Our 2050 vision Nii = new Kaze = wind Shima = island Niigata coastline Norwegian Continental Shelf Niigashima Continental Shelf Phase : Integration with Oil & Gas 38 Phase : Islands and Isolated Markets 39 Phase : Mature Technology 40
